Moody’s Investors Service on Monday said it has a stable outlook on the Indian banking system for the next 12-18 months as economic growth prospects remain healthy amid weak, but stabilising, asset quality.
The stable outlook is based on six parameters — operating environment, asset quality, capital, funding and liquidity, profitability and efficiency, and government support — all of which Moody’s believe are stable.
The environment will stay stable, supported by robust economic growth, Moody’s said in a statement.
The agency expects the real gross domestic product (GDP) in India to grow 7.2 per cent in the year ending March 2019 and 7.4 per cent in the following year, driven by investment growth and strong consumption.
“Our outlook for the Indian banking system is stable, underpinned by healthy economic growth, and weak but stabilizing asset quality,” Moody’s Vice President and Senior Credit Officer Srikanth Vadlamani said.
However, liquidity constraints at non-bank finance institutions (NBFIs) — increasingly important providers of credit for the economy — will prove a drag on growth. Rising interest rates also represent a risk, Moody’s said.
