Cong will win in Chhattisgarh, MP, Rajasthan: Survey

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Cong will win in Chhattisgarh, MP, Rajasthan: Survey

Friday, 09 November 2018 | PNS | New Delhi

The Congress is set to emerge victorious in Assembly election in Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh and Chhattisgarh, according to a survey conducted by ABP-C voters.

As per the survey, the Congress will get 42.6 per cent vote shares while the ruling BJP will get 40.9 per cent votes in the Assembly polls in Madhya Pradesh. 

The picture changes dramatically in the Lok Sabha polls. BJP will get 50.2 per cent vote while the Congress get 37 per cent votes in LS polls. The others will get 4.8 per cent votes. In the survey,  Jyotiraditya Scindia of Congress remained the top choice for the Chief Minister post with 42.5 per cent of the respondents followed by Shivraj Singh Chouhan with 37 per cent of the respondents favouring the BJP leader. Interestingly, only 8.2 per cent respondents want to see veteran Congressman and two-time Chief Minister Kamal Nath as the head of the State once more.

In Rajasthan Assembly polls , the survey predicted that the Congress is expected to snap up 44.8 per cent vote share while BJP may get 33.2 per cent. Chief Minister Vasundhara Raje seems to be struggling against a strong anti-incumbency factor.

However, if the Lok Sabha polls is held, the Congress is expected to get 36 per cent vote share while BJP will get 47.5 per cent vote share. The Voters’ spontaneous preferences for Chief Minister are as — Vasundhara Raje 21.6 per cent, Ashok Gehlot 22 per cent and Sachin Pilot 38.8 per cent.

 In Chhattisgarh, the survey predicted that the Congress is expected to get 36.9 per cent vote share while BJP will get 34.7 per cent vote share in the Assembly polls. In the Lok Sabha polls, the Congress is expected to get 40.1 per cent vote share while BJP to get 41.7 per cent vote share. Raman Singh is projected as the most favorable leader for the CM post, while Ajit Jogi is more preferred than any Congress leader.

In release, the ABP-C-voters said, “The data is weighted to the known demographic profile of the States. Sometimes the table figures do not sum to 100 due to the effects of rounding. Our final data file has Socio-Economic profile within +/- 1% of the Demographic profile of the State. We believe this will give the closest possible trends. The Tracking Poll Fieldwork covers random probability samples during the last 7 days from the release date. The sample spread is across all Assembly segments in the poll-bound States. MoE is +/- 3% at macro level and +/- 5% at micro level with 95% Confidence interval.”

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