Gwynne Dyer

Turkish strongman set to win elections?

Friday, 22 Jun 2018 | Gwynne Dyer | in Edit

Erdogan never had the support of more than half the population — and the other half loathes him. He looks unstoppable, but Turks are better informed and sophisticated politically than any other electorate in the region There is no possibility of a happy outcome in Sunday’s election in Turkey. Almost exactly...

Donald Trump and his trade delusion

Thursday, 14 Jun 2018 | Gwynne Dyer | in Edit

While leaders will have to divert some attention and effort to coping with the negative impacts of Trump's trade war, they must not let that become their obsession. It's a side issue, though potentially an expensive one Halfway across the Pacific Ocean, Donald Trump heard the closing statements from the G7...

Power couple in trouble

Tuesday, 12 Jun 2018 | Gwynne Dyer | in Oped

From the Ceausescus to the Mugabes, husband-and-wife teams running authoritarian regimes seem to have a high casualty rate. And now it may be the turn of the Nicaraguan team — President Daniel Ortega and his wife, Vice-President Rosario Murillo From the Ceausescus (overthrown and shot 1989) to the Mugabes (removed in...

Ethiopia's new saviour

Friday, 08 Jun 2018 | Gwynne Dyer | in Oped

Maybe Abiy Ahmed’s appointment as Prime Minister will calm things down, but don't mistake it for the start of a democratic transition Nobody outside the ruling party really knows much about Abiy Ahmed beyond his official party biography, but Ethiopia's new Prime Minister looks a lot like Magic Man at the...

Warming in Arctic at tipping point?

Monday, 28 May 2018 | Gwynne Dyer | in Oped

Climate is non-linear: It stays the same for a long time, then suddenly reaches a tipping point and the whole thing flips into a different configuration Here are two interesting facts. One is that the winter temperatures in the Arctic this year were the highest ever recorded. On two days in...

Karl Marx, 200 years later

Tuesday, 08 May 2018 | Gwynne Dyer | in Oped

Marx's goal was to create a classless society that lived in absolute equality. While it remains a pipe-dream, the collapse of communism taught us something: Absolute equality comes at too high a price. But too much inequality also exacts a price Karl Marx was right: Socialism works. It is just that...

If the model is broken, fix it

Friday, 20 Apr 2018 | Gwynne Dyer | in Oped

Universal Basic Income has the potential to fix a broken democracy. It has to just tick two boxes: Putting money in the pockets of those without work, and doing it in a way that does not breed humiliation, resentment and radicalism If the model is broken, should you try to fix...

Old man rages, civil war in Syria continues

Wednesday, 18 Apr 2018 | Gwynne Dyer | in Oped

The missile strike in Syria was big enough to rearrange the landscape around the alleged chemical weapons targets. However, it was a pantomime event designed to impress a small and unsophisticated audience: Donald J Trump I will do such things, — What they are, yet I know not: But they shall be The...

Unconvincing explanations

Friday, 13 Apr 2018 | Gwynne Dyer | in Oped

The great puzzle about poison gas use in Syria is that it has no plausible military purpose. Victims are always civilians and using poison gas has a big political price The Federal Bureau of Investigation raid on the office, home and hotel room of US President Donald Trump's lawyer, Michael Cohen,...

Latvian Russian speakers tongue-tied

Monday, 09 Apr 2018 | Gwynne Dyer | in Oped

Latvian speakers will have to accept that the Russian minority is a permanent presence in their country and the Russian speakers will have to accept that preserving the endangered Latvian language and culture comes first Lots of countries have two or more official languages: Canada (two), Belgium (three), Switzerland (four), South...


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