The right path

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The right path

Friday, 13 October 2023 | Pioneer

IMF raises India's growth rate, validating that its economy is on a firm footing

In today's mad, mad world with ongoing wars in the Middle East, Russia-Ukraine and a few African countries, besides the obvious destabilising effects of plummeting economy in countries like Pakistan, Sri Lanka and a host of BRI indebtors, India has come to stand out as a beacon of economic resilience. Despite the challenging geopolitical backdrop, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) has revised India's growth rate upward to 6.3 per cent. This revised projection is a testament to India's steadfast progress and proactive economic policies despite global uncertainties. India is currently the world's fastest growing major economy and is projected to account for 12.9 per cent of global growth over the next five years, surpassing the United States' 11.3 per cent share. Though Indian economy is growing faster than China, it is still lagging in absolute terms. While the Middle East crisis has sent shockwaves across the world and the Ukraine war has seriously impacted food supply lines, India has been able to maintain its demand and supply and fulfil its export commitments. India's economic resilience comes from a combination of factors. India's economic diversification has made it less dependent on a single sector. While agriculture, manufacturing and services continue to play vital roles, India's strides in technology and digital economy have created new opportunities, reducing its vulnerability to external factors. However, the biggest contributor have been the Government policies that have built and supported strong business sentiment. The Indian Government has implemented several pro-growth reforms to attract foreign investment and stimulate domestic industries. Initiatives like "Make in India," "Digital India" and the Goods and Services Tax (GST) have improved the ease of doing business and encouraged investment.

Despite these achievements, the Indian economy is not without its share of challenges. It faces issues like income inequality, infrastructure deficits and environmental concerns. The Middle East war poses potential threat to India's economy, primarily through rising oil prices. India is one of the largest importers of oil, and any increase in oil prices can lead to inflation and fiscal challenges. The IMF's revised growth rate is a vote of confidence in the nation's economic growth. However, economists caution that challenges such as rising inflation and geopolitical tensions could pose potential threats to India's economic growth. But for now, the IMF's projection will have a positive impact on Indian economy. It is likely to attract more foreign investment, bolstering India's economic growth which will help create more job opportunities. The improved economic outlook provides the Government with more fiscal space to invest in critical infrastructure, healthcare and education. India's robust economic performance strengthens its position as a significant global economic player, providing it with more influence at international forums.

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