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Gwynne Dyer

It’s a long-term strategy

Wednesday, 15 Aug 2018 | Gwynne Dyer | in Oped

The ICC wasn’t created to overthrow people like Duterte. Its real function is to provide a legal way for punishing members of a criminal regime after it has collapsed Here’s the good news. Last February, the International Criminal Court (ICC) at The Hague opened an inquiry into alleged crimes against humanity...

Our future: Hothouse earth

Friday, 10 Aug 2018 | Gwynne Dyer | in Oped

The scientific word is out: We have already passed the point where a return to the stable climate of the past 14,000 years is possible and we are on course for ‘hothouse earth’ It would be churlish to ask what took them so long. Let us be grateful instead that the...

Arduous path to democracy

Monday, 06 Aug 2018 | Gwynne Dyer | in Oped

The general direction of travel in South-East Asia and elsewhere is still towards democracy, but it’s a longer journey than it looks A quarter-century before the Arab Spring of 2011, there was a democratic spring in South-East Asia: The Philippines in 1986, Burma in 1988, Thailand in 1992 and Indonesia in...

Where will it all end?

Wednesday, 01 Aug 2018 | Gwynne Dyer | in Oped

Vagaries of climate change are such that it’s going to get worse before it gets better. When dealing with the future, you can only deal in probabilities; and even those are very dodgy This is Armageddon Summer in the northern hemisphere: Out-of-control wildfires all around the Arctic Circle (not to mention...

Zimbabwe goes to polls in showdown vote

Saturday, 28 Jul 2018 | Gwynne Dyer | in Oped

Zimbabwe’s first free elections are set to change the nation’s course but it’s difficult to tell who’s best to save the economy: New blood or old tyrant? I am as soft as wool. I am a very soft person in life,” Emmerson Dambudzo Mnangagwa told the BBC in a recent interview,...

Changing Syria’s demography

Monday, 23 Jul 2018 | Gwynne Dyer | in Oped

Syria is no place to be if you are in the bad books of the regime. With the fall of Deraa, the end of Syria’s civil war is within sight. What will the victorious Ba'ath Party do? With the fall of Deraa, the end of Syria’s civil war is within sight....

It’s not (quite) as bad as it seems

Friday, 20 Jul 2018 | Gwynne Dyer | in Oped

If the US had treated post-Soviet Russia less brutally in the 1990s, there might never have been support in Russia for an aggrieved nationalist like Putin In a particularly bad week for wrecking behaviour, US President Donald Trump trashed the NATO summit, declared the European Union a “foe”, undermined Prime...

Brexit: No turning point yet

Saturday, 14 Jul 2018 | Gwynne Dyer | in Oped

Brexiteers’ power lies in their threat to stage a revolt that overthrows May, fatally splits the Conservative Party and precipitates an early election Even with Donald Trump scheduled for a brief visit to the United Kingdom this week amid massive protests, it’s still ‘all Brexit, all of the time’ in the...

Healthy, wealthy & unwise

Friday, 06 Jul 2018 | Gwynne Dyer | in Oped

On the 70th anniversary of the world’s first public healthcare system, Britain’s National Healthcare Service (NHS), it’s useful to look at parallels Nothing is perfect and that definitely includes healthcare. On the 70th anniversary of the first full-coverage national health care system that is ‘free at the point of delivery’, Britain’s...

Turkish strongman set to win elections?

Friday, 22 Jun 2018 | Gwynne Dyer | in Edit

Erdogan never had the support of more than half the population — and the other half loathes him. He looks unstoppable, but Turks are better informed and sophisticated politically than any other electorate in the region There is no possibility of a happy outcome in Sunday’s election in Turkey. Almost exactly...


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